Tuesday, September 16, 2008

The MLS in Ottawa?



Many say it's a long shot, and with Montreal, Vancouver, Las Vegas, Atlanta, Portland and St Louis amongst others putting their names in the hat in an attempt to land a Major League Soccer franchise, the odds don't look so good for Ottawa to be one of the next two cities chosen to start the 2011 season.

But, it's definitely intriguing to say the least. And the though of a brand new soccer stadium that could seat up to 30,000 spectators is something that I would welcome, for the most part.

I naively thought that the Eugene Melnyk camp might be working together with the Minto group trying to bring back the folded CFL franchise to revitalize the downtown area by modernizing Frank Clair Stadium or by developing some other central location. But apparently they haven't really spoken to each other and are pretty much on their own. The plan of Melnyk is to build the stadium adjacent to Scotiabank Place and already I'm thinking Ottawa still hasn't learned anything from the mistakes of the past, namely no one enjoys the drive to the west end of the city to see a game. Because it's professional hockey, we do it anyway, even in the dead of winter knowing 45 minutes of bumper-to-bumper traffic awaits us at game's end. But does soccer have enough drawing power that fans won't mind this sort of inconvenience?

Maybe it does. But, the more lingering question is can something non-hockey related survive in this market? Having 2,000 fans attending Ottawa Rapidz games is enough to keep it afloat, and that's not much to ask for. However, any MLS franchise needs strong attendance (20,000+ on average) to survive, and the appeal of something new (a new soccer team AND a new stadium) will likely be enough to draw the crowds in the short term. The question is if they'll stay for the long haul.

Ottawa did a very good job as one of the host cities of the 2007 U-20 World Cup and attendance was very strong. Will these same people attend MLS games? Melnyk is gambling they will, and we'll find out before the end of October if he's successful in his bid to land a franchise in Ottawa.

Comments:
Hey think of it this way when the Sens are playing poorly for the next season or two they will eventually fold b/c of poor play and lack of fan turnout you will have something to watch and write about, at least until the soccer team folds that is.
 
P.S. When will people realize that Ottawa IS NOT a sport town? -of course unless their team is consistently winning.

P.S.S. This isn't a joke I am actually asking this question
 
There seems to be a lot of doubt regarding Ottawa fans interest towards the Senators if they were in the same boat as the Leafs are now and were rebuilding. But I think that because it's a major league sports team and the fact that it's hockey, it would not make the fans turn on the Sens. You may not get a sellout every night, but I think the Sens have ingrained themselves in the community and our viewing habits (tuning into Hockey Night in Canada ever Saturday)that the fans will stick around. Remember, there were some tough years between 1992-1996 and the fans still showed up. Despite all the losses against the Leafs in the post-season the fans still supported Ottawa. They tanked the 2nd half of the season and got swept in round 1 last season, but everyone I talk to, despite their thinking they won't be that great this year, are still very excited for the season to start.

Having said all that, with guys like Spezza, Heatley and Fisher under contract for 6-7 years, it will be awhile before Ottawa can't contend for a playoff spot. Add to the fact an ego-driven millionaire owns the team, he won't tolerate just getting a "return" on his investment and would always be willing to spend to get a winner.
 
Good answer I guess time will only tell.
 
You are right about one thing: Ottawa has shown to be fickle when it comes to sports outside hockey. Soccer and the new CFL franchise are both huge gambles and I'm not sure how well they'll be supported if they play.
 
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