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Here's who I think will win the Oscar in their respective categories (my guess is in italics). It doesn't necessarily mean what my preference is, just a guess as to who the academy will give their awards to:

Best Picture:

Brokeback Mountain
Capote
Crash
Good Night and Good Luck
Munich

Best Actor:

Phillip Seymour Hoffman, Capote
Terrence Howard, Hustle & Flow
Heath Ledger, Brokeback Mountain
Joaquin Phoenix, Walk the Line
Davis Strathairn, Good Night and Good Luck

Best Actress:

Judi Dench, Mrs. Henderson Presents
Felicity Huffman, Transamerica
Keira Knightley, Pride & Prejudice
Charlize Theron, North Country
Reese Witherspoon, Walk the Line

Best Supporting Actor

George Clooney, Syriana
Matt Dillon, Crash
Paul Giamatti, Cinderella Man
Jake Gyllenhaal, Brokeback Mountain
William Hurt, A History of Violence

Best Supporting Actress:

Amy Adams, Junebug
Catherine Keener, Capote
Frances McDormand, North Country
Rachel Weisz, The Constant Gardener
Michelle Williams, Brokeback Mountain

Best Director:

Ang Lee, Brokeback Mountain
Bennett Miller, Capote
Paul Haggis, Crash
George Clooney, Good Night and Good Luck
Steven Speilberg, Munich


I also think Tsotsi will win Best Foreign Film, Crash will win best original screenplay and Munich will take best adapted screenplay.

Let me know if you make any money off this, I have no qualms in taking a cut!